Sunday, September 20 2026

Vietnamese coffee prices continue to climb, and the Red Sea shipping crisis may further intensify it.

Coffee prices within Vietnam have once again climbed. In the Central Highlands, the largest producing region, purchase prices have generally risen by 1,300 to 1,400 Vietnamese dong per kilogram, and the price of coffee beans in bulk has risen to a range of 92,400 to 93,200 Vietnamese dong per kilogram. On the international market, Robusta futures for delivery in May 2024 rose to 3,450 US dollars per ton, while Arabica fell back to 182.95 US cents per pound. At the same time, armed attacks in the Red Sea and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait continue to escalate, with the Houthi armed group threatening to expand the scope of attacks to the Indian Ocean, and global shipping is facing a new round of pressure. Vietnamese coffee exporters, meanwhile, have high hopes for the Italian market, where Robusta occupies a dominant position. [more…]

Vietnamese dong depreciation, combined with the heatwave and the Red Sea crisis, has pushed coffee prices rebounding from a trough to the $4,000 range.

In late April, Robusta coffee futures surged to a historic high of US$4,339 per tonne, dragging Arabica futures up along with them. Entering May, Brazil and Vietnam successively released their April export reports, showing growth in both production and export volumes. ICE coffee inventories briefly eased market anxiety, and the enthusiasm for chasing futures buys cooled somewhat. However, after tropical agricultural products fell by nearly 14% overall, purchase prices in Vietnam's central growing regions quickly rebounded to 96 million to 100 million Vietnamese dong per tonne after dropping to 90 million dong per tonne. The interplay of multiple factors—drought, competition from crops such as durian, the continued depreciation of the Vietnamese dong, and rising freight rates on the Red Sea route—makes a rebound in coffee bean prices a highly probable event. Front Street Coffee will continue to monitor the deeper logic behind this round of volatility. [more…]

Domestic coffee prices in Vietnam climb to new peaks, while international Robusta and Arabica markets continue to decline

Vietnam's domestic coffee market has recently seen a rare turn of events: even as international futures prices broadly decline, domestic purchasing prices have risen against the trend, with the highest price in the Central Highlands provinces reaching 82,300 Vietnamese dong per kilogram, setting a new all-time record. At the same time, Germany's share of imports of Vietnamese coffee has risen rather than fallen, showing that Europe's reliance on Vietnamese robusta continues to deepen. However, expected production cuts caused by climate change and some coffee farmers switching to durian cultivation are planting more uncertainty on the supply side for the future. This article combines the latest exchange data and producing-region quotes to trace the ins and outs of this round of price fluctuations. [more…]

Vietnamese Robusta Coffee Prices Soar but Hidden Concerns Lurk, New Crop Supply May Reverse the Market

Vietnamese Robusta coffee prices have repeatedly hit new highs recently, with spot prices surging 49% compared to the same period last year and accumulating a 30% gain so far this year. Declining production, robust demand, and strong exports have combined to drive the market higher, but industry insiders are not optimistic about future trends. With Brazil and Indonesia's new harvest seasons approaching, supply is expected to improve and prices may fall back. Meanwhile, the Red Sea crisis continues to spill over, and rising shipping costs are adding uncertainty to the coffee trade. This article will review the latest developments and potential risks in the Vietnamese coffee market. [more…]

Vietnamese Robusta Coffee Hit by Production Crisis, Purchase Price Breaks the 100 Million Vietnamese Dong Mark

Vietnam, the world's largest robusta coffee-producing country, is facing severe challenges—drought and scant rainfall, farmers switching to fruit crops, and the lingering effects of El Niño. The combination of these multiple factors is expected to cause coffee output to fall by 20%. At the same time, Vietnam's domestic coffee purchase price has soared to 103 million to 107 million Vietnamese dong per ton, and London futures prices have risen by more than 50% within a year. This wave of reduced production not only affects Vietnam's local economy, but will also tighten the global coffee supply landscape. This article examines the climate, economic, and geopolitical factors behind Vietnam's coffee production decline, and also looks at China's role in this shifting situation. (Front Street Coffee continues to follow developments in global coffee-producing regions.) [more…]

Vietnamese Robusta Price Surpasses Arabica for the First Time, High Coffee Market Prices May Persist

Vietnam, as the world's largest producer of Robusta coffee, has recently seen a rare phenomenon—domestic Robusta prices have actually surpassed Arabica for the first time in nearly 50 years. Affected by multiple factors including high temperatures and drought, reduced production, and tight global supply, Vietnam's coffee export prices have continued to climb, with the average export price in May surging 63.6% year-on-year. At the same time, Brazil's new-season Robusta harvest is looking good, which may bring some relief to the persistently rising prices. This article will provide a detailed analysis of price trends, supply and demand changes, and future expectations in the Vietnamese coffee market. [more…]

Vietnamese Robusta Coffee Prices Climb Amid Trader Struggles: Red Sea Crisis and Farmers Holding Back Sales Impact the Market

A recent report from the Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association shows that robusta coffee prices continue to climb, with an expected price of 72 million to 73 million Vietnamese dong per ton, an increase from earlier levels. Global inventories are low, with robusta stocks at less than 30,000 tons, and arabica also at low levels, stemming from reduced production in many countries that has led to declining exports. The Red Sea situation has disrupted shipping, pushing freight rates higher, and some buyers have turned to Brazil for purchases. At the same time, Vietnamese farmers are holding back sales and waiting, making it difficult for traders to fulfill contracts; Dak Nong Province agent Mai Cau has already declared bankruptcy, involving nearly one million dollars in undelivered goods. This article will provide an in-depth analysis of market dynamics, export data and future expectations to help coffee lovers keep pace with market changes. [more…]

Vietnamese coffee suppliers demand renegotiation as robusta prices hit a 28-year high, worsening global supply tightness

Global robusta coffee prices recently surged to their highest point in 28 years. In Vietnam, the largest supplier, coffee farmers and producers, facing a poor harvest, are demanding renegotiation of previously locked-in low-price contracts with buyers. Vietnam's 2022/23 coffee crop was the worst in six years, and coupled with the Red Sea crisis driving up shipping costs, traders have begun turning to Brazil for procurement, continuously tightening the robusta supply chain. Faced with this situation, coffee enthusiasts may feel the pressure from their daily consumption, while brands like Front Street Coffee are also closely monitoring developments in the producing regions to select trustworthy robusta products for consumers. [more…]

Vietnamese Coffee Supply Recovery Drives Price Correction, Amid Multiple Factors in the Global Market

The Vietnamese coffee market has recently seen a turning point, with prices that had been climbing steadily due to supply tightness beginning to fall back. A survey by the Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association shows that coffee prices in the Central Highlands region have generally declined, while factors such as improved weather in Brazil, the expiration of coffee futures contracts, and a stronger US dollar have also put pressure on international coffee prices. Although Vietnam's coffee export volume declined somewhat in 2023, export value hit a record high. This article will analyze in detail Vietnam's coffee price trends, export data, and global market dynamics, providing coffee enthusiasts with the latest market information. [more…]

Vietnamese coffee production cuts drive up the market, prices are likely to remain firm in 2024

Latest data from the Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association (Vicofa) shows that in 2023, Vietnam's domestic coffee prices climbed to 70,000 Vietnamese dong per kilogram (about 207 yuan), hitting a multi-year high. Although export volume fell 4.5% year-on-year to 166.2 tons (about 27.7 million bags), driven by prices, export revenue rose 3.4% to US$4.08 billion, the highest level on record. Supply shortages and quality improvements are the two major drivers of the price increase. However, drought conditions and a shift in planting structure are weakening future production prospects. Vicofa expects production to decline by 10% in the 2023~2024 season, and coffee prices are likely to remain high. [more…]

Robusta Futures Break Through the $4,000 Mark: How Vietnam's Production Decline, Farmers' Holding Back and Capital Influx Are Stirring Up the Global Coffee Market

Recently, the international coffee futures market has been turbulent, with robusta coffee futures once surging to a historic high of $4,339 per ton, while July and September pre-sale contracts were quoted at $4,239 and $4,246 per ton respectively. Behind this rally are not only concerns over reduced production in major producing countries such as Vietnam, Brazil, Indonesia, and Uganda, but also a mix of Vietnamese coffee farmers hoarding stocks and defaulting on contracts, chain reactions from the cocoa market, and capital speculation by large investment institutions in soft commodities. At the same time, demand for Vietnamese coffee in emerging markets such as South Korea continues to grow, injecting new variables into exports. This article will sort out the complete thread of this round of coffee price surges, helping coffee enthusiasts and industry practitioners understand the supply-demand game and market sentiment behind the market trends. [more…]

Vietnamese coffee prices hit a new historic high, reshaping the global Robusta supply landscape.

Although coffee prices have recently retreated slightly from their highs, insufficient rainfall in Brazil's producing regions and continuously soaring domestic prices in Vietnam have cast a dark cloud over the supply side of the global coffee market. A combination of factors—Vietnamese coffee farmers holding back sales, traders struggling to fulfill contracts, and disruptions to Red Sea shipping—has pushed robusta coffee prices to a new record high. Meanwhile, Brazil's robusta exports have surged, and production expectations for the new crop season are optimistic, which may bring a glimmer of hope to the tight market supply. This article will sort through the key data and events behind coffee price fluctuations and assess the market outlook. [more…]

Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association: New crop exports may decline, robusta prices expected to remain high until April next year

At the 27th Asian International Conference, the Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association signaled that due to the triple factors of reduced output, depleted inventories, and rising domestic demand, Vietnam's coffee exports in the 2023/24 season are likely to fall below the previous year, while export prices are expected to remain high. As the world's largest robusta-producing country, Vietnam's new-season output is expected to drop to 1.6 million to 1.7 million tons. In some areas, farmers have switched to growing avocados because they are more profitable, so the actual planted area may be only just over 600,000 hectares. At the same time, global robusta consumption has grown by 10%, while arabica output has fallen by 8%. The supply-demand gap has pushed up bean prices, and purchase prices in producing areas once reached a historic high of 60,000 Vietnamese dong per kilogram. Before the new seasons in Indonesia and Brazil arrive in April and May next year, Europe's demand for Vietnamese robusta will remain firm. Front Street Coffee continues to monitor developments in producing areas and sort out price and supply changes for enthusiasts. [more…]

Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association warns: Robusta supply gap persists in 2024, coffee prices may climb to new highs

The latest statement from the Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association (Vicofa) indicates that Vietnamese coffee prices are highly likely to continue their upward trend in 2024, with the core driver still being severely tight supply. Current spot quotes for robusta have risen to 67,200-68,000 Vietnamese dong/kg, up 900-1,000 dong from last week and about 8,000 dong higher cumulatively since early December. The new crop season opened in November at a record high of 60,000 dong/kg, with traders rushing to buy early out of fear of repeating last year's June predicament of having no beans to purchase, while coffee farmers, expecting further price increases, are holding back sales, leading to fulfillment difficulties and a distorted export structure. El Niño continues to intensify, and robusta-producing regions in Brazil and Indonesia are expected to see lower output, further reinforcing the logic of rising prices—something coffee industry professionals and enthusiasts should closely watch. [more…]

Vietnamese Robusta coffee quotes hit fresh highs: can Brazil and Indonesia's new crops ease the supply crunch?

Vietnamese Robusta coffee prices have recently climbed again, with expected quotes for green beans from the Central Highlands surpassing previous records, mainly due to a combination of declining local production, strengthening international demand, drought in Brazil, and geopolitical risks. As the new harvest season in Brazil and Indonesia approaches in April, the market widely expects supply conditions to improve. However, weather uncertainty brought by El Niño, the Red Sea shipping crisis, and growing domestic consumption in Indonesia continue to add variables to the outlook. This article will review the supply and demand dynamics of the three major origins—Vietnam, Brazil, and Indonesia—and examine the potential impact on brands such as Front Street Coffee on the product side. [more…]

Distinguishing Authentic from Fake Vietnamese Weasel Coffee: From Civet Digestion to Market Price Differences

Kopi luwak is often called one of the most expensive coffees in the world, and questions surrounding it have never stopped: Is Vietnamese kopi luwak actually real? What exactly is it made from? Why are some civet coffee beans suspiciously cheap? This article starts with the digestive process of the civet, explains the flavor characteristics of authentic kopi luwak and the scarcity of wild beans, and outlines the ethical issues raised by the captive production chain. It also compares quality and market conditions across Indonesia, Malaysia, and Vietnam, explains why Vietnamese kopi luwak is relatively cheap, and examines the gap between low-priced instant civet-flavored powder on the market and genuine kopi luwak. [more…]

Distinguishing Authentic from Fake Vietnamese Civet Coffee: Why Is It So Cheap, and How Does It Differ from Authentic Indonesian Kopi Luwak?

Kopi luwak has long been regarded as one of the most expensive coffee categories in the world. Its authentic origin is Indonesia, where coffee beans naturally excreted by civets are refined through multiple processes, resulting in extremely low yields. However, the market is flooded with affordable Vietnamese kopi luwak—so what is really going on? Front Street Coffee will analyze the essential differences between Vietnamese kopi luwak and authentic Indonesian kopi luwak, reveal the reasons behind its low price, review several common kopi luwak products on the Vietnamese market, and share Front Street's brewing parameters and flavor performance for kopi luwak. In addition, the article will also explore the proliferation of counterfeit kopi luwak and the issue of animal welfare in the production process, helping coffee enthusiasts view this special category rationally. [more…]

Tightening Supply and Price Standoff: Vietnamese Coffee Farmers Hold Back Sales, Global Coffee Futures Continue to Strengthen

Recently, the global coffee market has been tight on supply. Coffee farmers in Vietnam are reducing shipments in anticipation of further price increases, leading to a quiet spot trading atmosphere locally. Meanwhile, the London and New York coffee futures markets are performing strongly, with both Robusta and Arabica prices climbing significantly, and Robusta once hitting a 15-year high. This article will review the changes in spot quotes in Vietnam's Central Highlands, the latest trends in the international futures market, and analyze the market logic behind farmers' reluctance to sell. For enthusiasts following the coffee market, current price fluctuations not only reflect the supply-demand imbalance but also signal potential pressure on future procurement costs. [more…]

Is Vietnamese weasel coffee authentic? Flavor characteristics and an analysis of its differences from authentic Indonesian weasel coffee

Kopi Luwak has long been regarded as one of the most expensive coffee varieties in the world, with its authentic origin being Indonesia. However, there is a considerable amount of affordably priced Vietnamese Kopi Luwak circulating on the market—so what exactly is going on? This article will analyze the essential differences between Vietnamese Kopi Luwak and authentic Indonesian Kopi Luwak from the perspectives of origin, variety, and production methods. It will also introduce several common Vietnamese Kopi Luwak products and share Front Street Coffee's brewing parameters and flavor descriptions. In addition, we will explore the issues of counterfeit Kopi Luwak flooding the market and animal welfare concerns in the production process, helping coffee enthusiasts make more rational choices. [more…]